Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.989162 2.389208 2.838795 3.379960 4.012069 4.725380 5.589547
2025-12-14 1.385232 1.880373 2.498300 3.319906 4.376609 5.682203 7.408578
2025-12-21 1.036441 1.559451 2.271501 3.298130 4.723964 6.615123 9.289950
2025-12-28 0.868385 1.424597 2.238616 3.492571 5.345073 7.944071 11.818596
2026-01-04 0.722801 1.282619 2.156929 3.585162 5.812204 9.091910 14.205915
2026-01-11 0.625206 1.190651 2.126434 3.736158 6.366944 10.406332 16.950886
2026-01-18 0.523046 1.067024 2.019069 3.739550 6.678845 11.371437 19.249156
2026-01-25 0.422655 0.923635 1.850428 3.608263 6.743428 11.939983 20.964343
2026-02-01 0.342661 0.800776 1.694940 3.471157 6.770813 12.435858 22.589161
2026-02-08 0.292767 0.727519 1.618409 3.463250 7.017008 13.310942 24.908121
2026-02-15 0.252965 0.666935 1.555645 3.469887 7.285127 14.240819 27.390460
2026-02-22 0.215144 0.602143 1.472593 3.422251 7.440639 14.977211 29.584859
2026-03-01 0.173146 0.518145 1.335364 3.246258 7.331565 15.232415 30.963026
2026-03-08 0.147887 0.470378 1.270843 3.216002 7.511798 16.047343 33.446151
2026-03-15 0.127614 0.430785 1.218140 3.203442 7.725578 16.943620 36.154362
2026-03-22 0.120526 0.426961 1.252309 3.395699 8.399111 18.805960 40.874503
2026-03-29 0.109331 0.408047 1.244697 3.486883 8.858746 20.272152 44.921170
2026-04-05 0.101683 0.398280 1.259412 3.634453 9.460408 22.078598 49.780695
2026-04-12 0.089481 0.370286 1.219369 3.637853 9.728430 23.203773 53.329325
2026-04-19 0.074732 0.329054 1.133860 3.509811 9.669498 23.620212 55.433227
2026-04-26 0.062156 0.291498 1.051298 3.376085 9.579180 23.956001 57.385346
2026-05-03 0.054669 0.270913 1.016337 3.368376 9.800411 25.002809 60.938965
2026-05-10 0.048462 0.253456 0.987861 3.374849 10.058055 26.151983 64.795662